Everton have been in good form recently and it will need to continue for the rest of the season after it was announced the club have been given a 10 point deduction after breaching financial regulations.
Sean Dyche has had to contend with a relegation battle, fan unrest, trouble with the owner and financial issues in his time at the club so far, and now he's facing his toughest battle.
A strong recent run seemed to put distance between them and the teams in the relegation battle, but a 10 point deduction has thrown them back into the mix.
It is a huge setback that will deflate fans and the club plans to appeal the decision.
Following the news, we've decided to focus on their predicted finish using bettingexpert's supercomputer BETSiE, which takes into account multiple data points including xG, xA and runs the simulation, 100,000 times. Everton's relegation probability has increased from 1.4% (before deduction) to 21.4% - an increase of 19.7% following the news of the points deduction.
1. Manchester City
84 Points
2. Arsenal
80 Points
3. Liverpool
78 Points
4. Newcastle United
70 Points