Supercomputer predicts Liverpool and Everton’s new Premier League final position and points tally

Liverpool and Everton are both three matches into the new Premier League season and neither team have picked up a win as of yet.

While the Toffees were expected to have a tough start following the departure of Richarlison, Jurgen Klopp’s side were certainly predicted to enjoy more success as they looked to once again challenge for the Premier League title.

However, the Reds have so far only claimed two points and were beaten by Manchester United for the first time in the league since March 2018.

With poor recent form for both clubs, many fans’ predictions of how the season could pan out has already changed.

With the first month of the season almost up, data experts at FiveThirtyEight have crunched the numbers and used their Forecasts and Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings to predict how the final Premier League table will look come next May.

We take a look at their predicted final finishing positions, where Liverpool and Everton feature and how many points each side is expected to earn.

1. Man City - 85 pts

• Win Premier Leagueeague: 57% • Qualify for UCL: 93% • Relegation: <1%

2. Liverpool - 74 pts

• Win Premier League: 16% • Qualify for UCL: 71% • Relegation: <1%

3. Tottenham - 68 pts

• Win Premier League: 8% • Qualify for UCL: 51% • Relegation: <1%

4. Arsenal - 68 pts

• Win Premier League: 8% • Qualify for UCL: 50% • Relegation: <1%

5. Chelsea - 67 pts

• Win Premier League: 7% • Qualify for UCL: 49% • Relegation: <1%

6. Brighton - 59 pts

• Win Premier League: 2% • Qualify for UCL: 22% • Relegation: 2%

7. Man United - 54 pts

• Win Premier League: <1% • Qualify for UCL: 13% • Relegation: 5%

8. Crystal Palace - 52 pts

• Win Premier League: <1% • Qualify for UCL: 10% • Relegation: 7%

9. Newcastle United - 52 pts

• Win Premier League: <1% • Qualify for UCL: 10% • Relegation: 8%

10. Aston Villa - 50 pts

• Win Premier League: <1% • Qualify for UCL: 7% • Relegation: 10%

11. Brentford - 48 pts

• Win Premier League: <1% • Qualify for UCL: 6% • Relegation: 11%

12. Leeds United - 47 pts

• Win Premier League: <1% • Qualify for UCL: 5% • Relegation: 13%

13. Leicester - 44 pts

• Win Premier League: <1% • Qualify for UCL: 3% • Relegation: 20%

14. West Ham - 44 pts

• Win Premier League: <1% • Qualify for UCL: 3% • Relegation: 20%

15. Wolves - 43 pts

• Win Premier League: <1% • Qualify for UCL: 3% • Relegation: 22%

16. Southampton - 42 pts

• Win Premier League: <1% • Qualify for UCL: 2% • Relegation: 25%

17. Fulham - 41 pts

• Win Premier League: <1% • Qualify for UCL: 2% • Relegation: 27%

18. Everton - 39 pts

• Win Premier League: <1% • Qualify for UCL: 1% • Relegation: 33%

19. Bournemouth - 36 pts

• Win Premier League: <1% • Qualify for UCL: <1% • Relegation: 46%

20. Nottingham Forest - 35 pts

• Win Premier League: <1% • Qualify for UCL: <1% • Relegation: 49%

Talking points

Despite Liverpool’s disappointing start to the new season, the supercomputer has still predicted they will finish in second place - where many expected them to end up before a ball was kicked. However, there is a big 11 point gap between the two sides which will definitely have been impacted by their dropped points in recent weeks.

Everton’s position is less expected given their difficult start, however there isn’t much in it and the Toffees will be hoping to kick start their campaign soon and overtake those hovering above the bottom.

One surprising position is Brighton, who sit in sixth with a 22% likelihood of qualifying for the Champions League. While they enjoyed an impressive top half finish last time, it would still be a surprise to see them so high up in the table.

Similarly, West Ham’s zero point start has left them in the bottom half despite qualifying for Europe last time out, while big spenders Nottingham Forest are glued to the bottom despite taking four points from their opening three matches.